Did the U.S. Hit Record High Temperatures?
Front page above the fold headlines proclaimed that the United
States had a record high average temperature in 2012. Several days later
we find the rest of the story buried much deeper in the paper. Global
average temperature was only the ninth highest on record. Among other
things, the unusually high US average meant the rest of the world must
have been pretty mild!
The rate of global temperature rise has fallen in the last dozen
years. The trend for the entire 34-year record is an increase of about
2.3° F/century but for the last dozen years the rate of increase has been only 0.7°
F/century. It is possible some negative feedback mechanism or natural
cycle is at work. Some would have us rush into spending trillions of
dollars altering our energy infrastructure and significantly increasing
the cost of energy to reduce manmade greenhouse gas. Serious questions
remain to be answered before we follow that advice. In the meantime a
more measured approach needs to be followed. Electric generation is
undergoing a radical shift from coal to natural gas fired
plants. Natural gas emits about half the greenhouse gas of coal and
actually will reduce electric rates. That’s a win-win situation no
matter what happens to future temperatures.
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